Note: You may also watch live streaming of the event
at http://www.sdpi.tv/live.php

(Concept Note)

A large population of the world inextricably
depends on the South Asian summer monsoon, which contributes as much as 75 per
cent of the total annual rainfall in major parts of the region. The substantial
variability of onset and duration of the summer monsoon exerts a strong control
on water resources, agriculture, economy, ecosystems, and human mortality
throughout South Asia. Moreover, due to the topography-driven dynamics,
simulation of South Asian summer monsoon has remained a challenge for the climate
modeling community.

More
importantly, there is a large uncertainty in multi Global Climate Models based
(GCM) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections regarding
the response of South Asian monsoon dynamics to increase in greenhouse gas
concentrations. The lecture presents an overview of the processes that govern
South Asian summer monsoon dynamics. In addition, the speaker will explain the
uncertainty in IPCC projections for this regions and that how can the future
response of South Asian summer monsoon to increase in greenhouse forcing be
very different and spatially heterogeneous than what has been shown in IPCC
projections.

Chair: Dr Qamar Uz Zaman Chaudhry, Advisor Climate Affairs, Government of Pakistan

Speaker:

• Dr Moetasim Ashfaq, Computational
  Climate Scientist, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), United States of
  America

Moderator: 

• Mr
  Kashif Majeed Salik, Research Associate, SDPI