Finding the cointegration and causal linkages between the electricity production and economic growth in Pakistan
Team Members: Dr. Vaqar Ahmed, Muhammad Zeeshan
The present study reveals the impact of electricity production on economic growth in Pakistan. It covers the period of 1975–2010, and assumes a log-linear relationship between the variables. The bounds test for cointegration indicates a unique long-run relationship between the variables. Moreover, it ﬁnds that sub-optimal electricity production is eroding the private business investment in the short run. Based on these facts, this study advocates the promotion of hydropower plants that are beneﬁcial for two reasons. First, it would produce clean power in the country. Second, the cost of production would also drop resulting in lower tariff rates. Finally, it ﬁnds bidirectional causal relationship between the variables in the long run whereas no causal relationship is found in the short run.