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Owing to COVID-19 outbreak, SDPI staff is working from home from 9am to 5pm five days a week. All our staff members are available on phone, email and/or any other digital/electronic modes of communication during our usual official hours. You can also find all our work related to COVID-19 in orange entries in our publications section below.    The Sustainable Development Policy Institute (SDPI) is pleased to announce its Twenty-third Sustainable Development Conference (SDC) from 14 – 17 December 2020 in Islamabad, Pakistan. The overarching theme of this year’s Conference is Sustainable Development in the Times of COVID-19. Read more…       FOOD SECIRITY DASHBOARD: On 4th Nov, SDPI has shared the first prototype of Food Security Dashboard with Dr Moeed Yousaf, the Special Assistant to Prime Minister on  National Security and Economic Outreach in the presence of stakeholders, including Ministry of National Food Security and Research. Provincial and district authorities attended the event in person or through zoom. The dashboard will help the government monitor and regulate the supply chain of essential food commodities.

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Published Date: Nov 19, 2020

Decision-Making under Uncertainty: Bridging data gaps for effective energy planning (PB – 74)

Abstract

Owing to the absence of research collaboration between government and academia, electricity demand forecasting in Pakistan has long inculcated forecasting errors due to data inconsistencies and modeling approaches. Such forecast discrepancies even within defined error margins can amount to a multifold of a whole sector-level energy demand. Since point forecasts, as being currently practiced, provide a single forecasted value without predefined error margins, forecasters must conduct probabilistic forecasts instead of attaining reliable confidence intervals. In case of faulty forecasts, every extra unit produced bears an economic cost. This factor must be addressed while designing energy policies to avoid unnecessary financial burdening of country’s economy. Effective energy policy making can be conceived by developing a coalition between government and academia for collaborative research. To assist such coalitions further, a centralized and publicly available data base needs to be developed for a consistent data input for Pakistan’s electricity forecast models. Moreover, the Government of Pakistan must assist synergizing with international donors and agencies to accelerate collaborative research efforts.