Asset 1

Global Go To Think Tank Index (GGTTI) 2020 launched                    111,75 Think Tanks across the world ranked in different categories.                SDPI is ranked 90th among “Top Think Tanks Worldwide (non-US)”.           SDPI stands 11th among Top Think Tanks in South & South East Asia & the Pacific (excluding India).            SDPI notches 33rd position in “Best New Idea or Paradigm Developed by A Think Tank” category.                SDPI remains 42nd in “Best Quality Assurance and Integrity Policies and Procedure” category.              SDPI stands 49th in “Think Tank to Watch in 2020”.            SDPI gets 52nd position among “Best Independent Think Tanks”.                           SDPI becomes 63rd in “Best Advocacy Campaign” category.                   SDPI secures 60th position in “Best Institutional Collaboration Involving Two or More Think Tanks” category.                       SDPI obtains 64th position in “Best Use of Media (Print & Electronic)” category.               SDPI gains 66th position in “Top Environment Policy Tink Tanks” category.                SDPI achieves 76th position in “Think Tanks With Best External Relations/Public Engagement Program” category.                    SDPI notches 99th position in “Top Social Policy Think Tanks”.            SDPI wins 140th position among “Top Domestic Economic Policy Think Tanks”.               SDPI is placed among special non-ranked category of Think Tanks – “Best Policy and Institutional Response to COVID-19”.                                            Owing to COVID-19 outbreak, SDPI staff is working from home from 9am to 5pm five days a week. All our staff members are available on phone, email and/or any other digital/electronic modes of communication during our usual official hours. You can also find all our work related to COVID-19 in orange entries in our publications section below.    The Sustainable Development Policy Institute (SDPI) is pleased to announce its Twenty-third Sustainable Development Conference (SDC) from 14 – 17 December 2020 in Islamabad, Pakistan. The overarching theme of this year’s Conference is Sustainable Development in the Times of COVID-19. Read more…       FOOD SECIRITY DASHBOARD: On 4th Nov, SDPI has shared the first prototype of Food Security Dashboard with Dr Moeed Yousaf, the Special Assistant to Prime Minister on  National Security and Economic Outreach in the presence of stakeholders, including Ministry of National Food Security and Research. Provincial and district authorities attended the event in person or through zoom. The dashboard will help the government monitor and regulate the supply chain of essential food commodities.

Number of Downlaods: 40

Published Date: Nov 23, 2015

Future Heatwaves in Pakistan under IPCC’s AR5 climate change scenario (PB-46)
 
Introduction
 
Heatwaves occupy an important class of climate-related disasters with a history of causing large scale mortalities. Most of the people do not realize how deadly a heatwave can be because in contrast to the visible and destructive nature of floods, heatwaves are regarded as "silent killers". With all its fury anddestruction, the heatwaves in France in 2003 resulted in 15,000 death (Poumad`ere et al. 2005). At a time when Pakistan was facing the worst flooding of its history in 2010, a heatwave in Moscow caused the death of 11,000 people (Shaposhnikov et al. 2014). Very recently, another deadliest heatwave caused around 2,300 casualties in India and a few weeks later, Pakistan had to face this havoc, which claimed 1,200 human lives.
 
The recent heatwaves in India and Pakistan can be attributed to climate change (Khan 2014). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), in its series of assessment reports, has been continuously warning about an increase in duration, intensity and magnitude of future heatwaves due to global warming (IPCC 2013). Since IPCC does not do its own research, its findings are based on the published literature, generally in impact factor journals. The technique, which is mostly adopted in such studies, is largely based on climate modeling.
 
Today climate models or more specifically the Global Climate Models (GCMs) are considered to be the most sophisticated numerical tools to carry out global climate simulations. However, the resolution of these GCMs is coarse and is typically of the order of 250 km. Hence, many regional-scale climatic features go beyond the scope of ESMs. Therefore, it led to the development of regional climate modeling technique in order to downscale the coarse GCMs to the regional scale at a typical resolution of 10 to 50km. These models are named Regional Climate Models (RCMs) (Saeed et al. 2009).
 
In a recently published study in 2015, the authors used the data of seven GCMs and claimed it to be the "first projection of future heatwaves in India" (Murari et al. 2015). In the present study, we have gone one step further while using the data of three RCMs (having much higher resolution than GCMs) to present a first projection of future heatwaves in Pakistan. This paper is structured as follows: section 2 provides the details of ‘Data and Methodology’ followed by ‘Results’ section. Section 4 presents the critical analysis of "2015 heatwave in Pakistan" followed by the ‘Recommendation’ section at the end.