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In 1947, Pakistan broke the chains of territorial colonial domination, but the promise of economic freedom remains only partially fulfilled. As the country approaches eight decades of independence, the real measure of sovereignty must be whether political freedom has translated into economic capacity. Can citizens invest with confidence, innovate, compete without unnecessary constraints and prosper under the umbrella of strong institutions and predictable rules?

A nation may possess sovereign territory, its own parliament and its own currency, yet still leave entrepreneurs trapped in regulatory mazes, investors searching for policy certainty, taxpayers carrying an uneven burden and businesses struggling against institutional friction. Political independence gives a country the right to govern itself, but economic freedom determines whether its society can build, invest, innovate and grow.

In this context, the Heritage Foundation’s 2026 Index of Economic Freedom provides an unavoidable picture of the nation’s economy. With an overall score of only 48.9 out of 100, Pakistan ranks 152nd out of 184 economies globally and 33rd in the Asia-Pacific region. It remains classified as a repressed economy. These rankings should never be treated as economic scripture, but their warnings are hard to ignore when they align so closely with structural weaknesses visible across the economy.

If these weaknesses have persisted despite decades of IMF programmes, investment policies and institutional restructuring, why does Pakistan consistently struggle to translate reforms into genuine economic freedom? When we unpack the institutional headline number, the answer becomes more visible. The country scores only 25.7 for property rights, 27.6 for judicial effectiveness and 26.3 for government integrity. Investors ask not only what incentives are available today, but also whether contracts will be honoured tomorrow, property rights will be protected, regulations will be applied impartially and policies will remain consistent across political transitions.

Can an economy attract sustained investment when institutional uncertainty becomes more predictable than policy itself? Capital inflows are attracted not merely by tax concessions, but also by credibility. Businesses may comply with regulations, but planning becomes difficult when regulations change without adequate notice. Pakistan’s deeper economic challenge is, therefore, not simply a shortage of capital but a shortage of institutional confidence. For decades, Pakistan has repeatedly attempted to bridge this gap through tax holidays, priority financing, special economic zones and sector-specific interventions. Such measures can support investment, but incentives cannot permanently substitute for robust institutions. A shift from an incentive economy towards a rules-based economy, where property rights are secure and transparent regulations and stable policies allow firms to plan long-term investment strategies, is needed.

The Heritage Economic Freedom Index’s public-finance indicators for Pakistan reveal a striking paradox. Despite relatively strong scores of 78.2 for tax burden and 88.5 for government spending, the country’s fiscal-health score plunges to just 10, with tax revenue at only 10.5 per cent of GDP, a three-year average fiscal deficit of about 7.5 per cent and public debt approaching 70.4 per cent of GDP. These apparently favourable headline scores conceal deep structural gaps: lower public spending does not necessarily indicate efficiency, particularly when limited fiscal capacity coexists with vast development needs.

A low aggregate tax burden also does not mean that taxation is fairly distributed. Pakistan’s narrow documented economy – comprising salaried individuals, registered firms, financial institutions, exporters and other compliant businesses – repeatedly shoulders the burden of revenue mobilisation. Meanwhile, large segments of economic activity remain outside the formal tax system. This mechanism leads to a cycle of fiscal captivity, where weak revenue collection encourages borrowing, rising debt-servicing costs erode fiscal space, constrained resources suppress development spending and the government ultimately returns to the same visible taxpayers for additional revenue.

Fiscal freedom is not the absence of taxation, but the presence of a transparent and equitable system that citizens and businesses can understand, anticipate and trust. The regulatory landscape deepens this diagnosis and reveals a similar structural weakness. Pakistan scores 54.4 in business freedom, 51.7 in labour freedom, 54.1 in monetary freedom, 70.4 in trade freedom, 60 in investment freedom and only 40 in financial freedom.

The country’s economic dilemma becomes clearer when viewed against the rapidly transforming landscape of emerging Asia. Vietnam records an economic freedom score of around 64.4; Bangladesh, despite persistent institutional constraints, scores approximately 54.8; while India stands at 52.2. Both Bangladesh and India are ahead of Pakistan. This comparison highlights the economic cost of weak competitiveness and limited integration into global production networks. As regional economies compete for investment, technology, and trade, how long can Pakistan afford to remain on the margins of global markets?

Pakistan’s central policy failure lies in the persistent disparity between reform announcements and economic reality. Successive governments have relied on packages instead of institutions, concessions instead of competition, protection instead of productivity and temporary stabilisation instead of structural transformation. New initiatives are announced, committees established, exemptions granted and investment frameworks repeatedly redesigned. However, the institutions governing taxation, regulation, finance and contract enforcement evolve far too slowly. For businesses, reform is measured not by the ambition of a policy document but by what actually changes at the factory gate. What value does a promising reform agenda hold if entrepreneurs continue to encounter the same bureaucratic barriers? Pakistan cannot realistically undo decades of structural weakness, but it should demonstrate a sustained shift from short-term economic firefighting towards robust institutional reforms. Commercial disputes must be resolved more smoothly, property and contractual rights strengthened and taxation made broader, simpler and more predictable. The overlap between federal and provincial regulations should be harmonised, while SMEs need fairer access to competitive finance.

Trade policy must reward innovation, productivity and export performance instead of indefinitely protecting inefficient industries. At the same time, frequently loss-making state-owned enterprises cannot continue consuming scarce fiscal resources that could strengthen infrastructure, education, technology, climate resilience and human capital.

Ultimately, Pakistan’s pursuit of economic freedom will succeed only when policy commitments translate into tangible improvements across the real economy. Economic freedom is not created in ministerial presentations or proclaimed through reform documents. It is observed at the factory gate, tax office, bank, customs desk and commercial court. A business trapped in multiple approvals, an investor exposed to inconsistent tax interpretations, an SME lacking access to competitive finance and an exporter facing administrative delays do not experience an economy as genuinely free.

The generation of 1947 secured Pakistan’s political sovereignty. Today’s generation must translate that sovereignty into economic freedom.

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