Fostering anticipatory action to climatic and socio-economic risks at sub-national scales in the Hindu Kush Himalaya region

Fostering anticipatory action to climatic and socio-economic risks at sub-national scales in the Hindu Kush Himalaya region

Project Title: Fostering anticipatory action to climatic and socio-economic risks at sub-national scales in

the Hindu Kush Himalaya region

Duration of Project (Start and End Date) 11th July 2024 to 31st December 2024

Donors/Partners:  ICIMOD, Nepal

Project Focal Person from SDPI Dr Shafqat Munir Ahmad

Project Focal Person’s Email Address shafqat@sdpi.org

Locale: Islamabad, Swat and Chitral

Project Lead Dr Shafqat Munir Ahmad

Project Team Muhammad Awais Umar and Ali Rehmat

Unit Name Sustainability and Resilience Programme

Program/Project Rational and Background

During a roundtable organized by SDPI and ICIMOD in Islamabad, the participants

suggesting a way forward called for effective anticipatory adaptation plans at local levels

incorporating foresight analysis, local perspective and knowledge using a participatory approach. For anticipatory and participatory action for a safer future, there is a dire need to understand future risks, risk governance, and risk financing. The current adaptation strategies generally focus on reacting on immediate impacts reactively,

but climate models emphasize the need for anticipatory measures. To be future-fit, it is

important to understand future risks, local livelihood realities and take anticipatory actions for the disaster risk reduction, disaster risk management, and proactive climate change adaptation in the HKH region of Pakistan.

Therefore, the need for Local Anticipatory Adaptation framework becomes evident,

necessitating the integration of local wisdom and local context within an adaptation plan driven by a proactive, participatory, and anticipatory approach to enhancing gender responsive community resilience. The SDPI had already worked with IRC in launching two Local Adaptation Plans of Action (LAPAs), one each for Thatta (Sindh province) and Chaman

(Baluchistan province). These two model LAPAs have provided learning for development of local anticipatory adaptation plans for two mountain districts of Pakistan - Chitral and Swat.

Planned Deliverables/Outputs

With Dates (Mandatory)

• A report taking stock of sector-wise risks from existing literature and information (6 September 202)
• Consultative exercise to sensitize and identify specific risks and priorities of the community (30 November 2024)
• Co-develop multiple future scenarios, identify adaptation pathways, and anticipatory actions (31 December 2024)
• Stocktaking of current efforts, at household, community and district levels to enhance resilience to climate change impacts (31 December 2024)
• Country consultations on human securities under changing climate (31 December 2024)
• A report on enhancing community resilience by identifying adaptation pathways and plan of action towards desired futures (31 December 2024)
• Impact/Outcome Sought or Achieved (if any)

Outcome:

Developed future scenarios and identified gender responsive adaptation pathways and

anticipatory actions to support the sub-national governments and communities to

integrate anticipatory adaptation approach in their plans and policies.